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- [CMP - How Likely Is It?]
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Numbered assignments are listed on the day they are DUE!
[
Probability and area]
[Making inferences and predictions from data]
3-15-2004 
1. -HOMEWORK: Marshmallow..
| This is the class data for the 'marshmallow" toss. The homework assignment for Monday (3-15) is to add up the data and give the probabilities for each event. |
Large | | Small |
| end | side | | end | side |
| 24 | 26 | | 16 | 34 |
| 25 | 35 | | 28 | 32 |
| 10 | 16 | | 16 | 10 |
| 25 | 25 | | 35 | 15 |
| 25 | 25 | | 20 | 30 |
| 28 | 22 | | 18 | 32 |
| 27 | 23 | | 12 | 38 |
| 15 | 35 | | 15 | 35 |
| 20 | 30 | | 20 | 30 |
| 30 | 20 | | 25 | 25 |
| 22 | 28 | | 21 | 29 |
| 35 | 15 | | 20 | 30 |
OBJECTIVE: •To develop strategies for finding experimental
probabilities with a new simulation tool: spinners •To
understand that to make good decisions based on experimental
probabilities, the probabilities must be based on a large
number of trials [1.4.8][1.4.9] ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-Ups
-Interpret Graphs /tables: Investigation Three: Using Spinners
to Predict Chance; Spinners, Angles, Using Statistics NOTES:
Review/overview of 'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: p27 10&11 [
Changeable spinner with results.]
3-16-2004 
1. -HOMEWORK: Page 27 10&11....
OBJECTIVE: •To understand the two ways to obtain probabilities:
by gathering data from experiments (experimental probability)
and by analyzing possible and favorable outcomes (theoretical
probability)[1.4.2] •To understand the relationship between
experimental and theoretical probabilities: when an
experimental probability is based on a large number of trials,
it is a good estimate of the theoretical probability •To
develop strategies for finding theoretical probabilities, such
as making an organized list of all possible outcomes [1.4.2]
•To develop an understanding of the word random
ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-Ups -Interpret Graphs /tables:
Investigation Four: Theoretical Probabilities; Theoretical
Probabilities, Experimental Probabilities, Randomness NOTES:
Review/overview of 'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: P39 #9 [PDF Chapter on counting outcomes and more.]
3-17-2004

1. -HOMEWORK: Page 39#9........
OBJECTIVE: •To understand the two ways to obtain probabilities:
by gathering data from experiments (experimental probability)
and by analyzing possible and favorable outcomes (theoretical
probability)[1.4.3] •To develop strategies for finding
theoretical probabilities, such as making an organized list of
all possible outcomes [1.4.2][4.1.1][4.1.2] •To gain a better
understanding of what it means for events to be equally likely
in situations in which individual outcomes are combined to
obtain the events of interest ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-Ups
-Interpret Graphs /tables: NOTES: HOMEWORK: P47 15-18
[Probability]
3-18-2004 
1. -HOMEWORK: Page 47 15-18....
OBJECTIVE: •To gain experience in choosing appropriate
simulation strategies[1.4.1]1.4.2][1.4.3] •To understand, find,
and compare experimental and theoretical probabilities •To gain
experience in critically analyzing and interpreting
probabilistic statements[1.4.8][1.4.9] ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT:
Warm-Ups -Interpret Graphs /tables: Do problem 6.1 with the
simulation... NOTES: HOMEWORK: P51 #2
3-19-2004 
1. -HOMEWORK: Page 51 #2.......
2. -Warm Up Test....
OBJECTIVE: See above. ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-Up Test
-Interpret Graphs /tables: How Likely Is It Review Test.
NOTES: HOMEWORK: None
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