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- [CMP - How Likely Is It?]
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Numbered assignments are listed on the day they are DUE!
[
Probability and area]
3-8-2004 
1. -Homework: Page 64 12-13.
2. -Filling and Wrapping Final........
OBJECTIVE: Assessment ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-up: Area and
probability: Filling and Wrapping final. NOTES: Tomorrow -
start with 'How Likely is it' AND 'What do You Expect'
HOMEWORK: Page 67 1&2
3-9-2004 
1. -Homework: Page 67 1&2......
OBJECTIVE: •To build intuition that probability, or chance, has
to do with events that are uncertain but that have a pattern of
regularity over the long run •To determine relative frequencies
from experimental data and use them to predict behavior over
the long run [4.2.1] •To observe that small numbers of trials
may produce wide variation in results •To display collected
data in graphs or tallies and use them to find experimental
probabilities •To recognize equally likely events
ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-up: Area and probability:
Probability, Equally Likely Events NOTES: Review/overview of
'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: TBA
[Probability, Equally Likely Events
Unequally Likely Events, Possible and Probable Events]
3-10-2004 
1. .................
OBJECTIVE: •To gain experience finding experimental
probabilities of unequally likely events[1.4.8][1.4.9] •To
understand that chance (probability) is an estimate of behavior
over the long run •To understand that to make good decisions
based on experimental probabilities, the probabilities must be
based on a large number of trials •To understand that a game of
chance is fair only if each player has the same chance of
winning, not just a possible chance of winning
ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-up: Area and probability: Equally
likely and 'fair'Investigation Two: More Experiments with
Chance. Unequally Likely Events, Possible and Probable Events
NOTES: Review/overview of 'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: TBA
[Spinners, Angles, Using Statistics]
3-11-2004

1. .................
OBJECTIVE: •To develop strategies for finding experimental
probabilities with a new simulation tool: spinners •To
understand that to make good decisions based on experimental
probabilities, the probabilities must be based on a large
number of trials [1.4.8][1.4.9] ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-up:
Area and probability: Investigation Three: Using Spinners to
Predict Chance; Spinners, Angles, Using Statistics NOTES:
Review/overview of 'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: TBA
[Theoretical Probabilities, Experimental Probabilities]
3-12-2004 
1. -WarmUp Test.....
OBJECTIVE: •To understand the two ways to obtain probabilities:
by gathering data from experiments (experimental probability)
and by analyzing possible and favorable outcomes (theoretical
probability)[1.4.2] •To understand the relationship between
experimental and theoretical probabilities: when an
experimental probability is based on a large number of trials,
it is a good estimate of the theoretical probability •To
develop strategies for finding theoretical probabilities, such
as making an organized list of all possible outcomes [1.4.2]
•To develop an understanding of the word random
ACTIVITIES/ASSESSMENT: Warm-up Test: Area and probability:
Investigation Four: Theoretical Probabilities; Theoretical
Probabilities, Experimental Probabilities, Randomness NOTES:
Review/overview of 'How Likely Is It' HOMEWORK: TBA
[Probability and Sports]
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